The national energy load, which includes consumption and electrical losses, is expected to reach 81.730 average megawatts (MWmed) in January, representing a growth of 2,6% compared to the same period in 2024.
The estimate was released by the National System Operator (ONS) last Friday (17/1). The new projection represents a reduction of 1.253 MWmed in relation to the initial estimates, when the expected growth was 4,2%.
According to Marcio Rea, general director of ONS, load projections remain “stable throughout the month”, showing growth at “varying levels” with each weekly review.
“The National Interconnected System (SIN) is prepared to fully meet the increase in load demand. The higher temperatures recorded this summer directly impact consumption projections,” said Rea.
Load growth forecast by submarket:
- Sul: 14.876 MWmed (+7,5%)
- North: 7.622 MWmed (+5,2%)
- Northeast: 13.688 MWmed (+3,1%)
- Southeast/Midwest: 45.545 MWmed (+0,6%)
Reservoir conditions
Rainfall in January is in line with the historical average, favoring the recovery of hydroelectric plants' storage capacity.
Check out the ENA (Inflowing Natural Energy) and EAR (Stored Energy) projections for the end of the month:
Natural Influent Energy (ENA):
- North: 111% of Long Term Average (LTA)
- Northeast: 105% of MLT
- Southeast/Midwest: 97% of MLT
- Sul: 76% of MLT
Stored Energy (EAR):
- North: 78,3% capacity
- Northeast: 70,7% capacity
- Sul: 69% capacity
- Southeast/Midwest: 63,6% capacity
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